Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 95.660082 108.795471 123.745506 142.164004 164.443953 190.781472 224.660362
2025-04-27 81.062731 98.846601 121.140794 151.740986 193.635841 250.542150 336.596646
2025-05-04 69.488649 88.394720 113.560031 150.606979 205.789573 288.635860 430.593671
2025-05-11 62.266755 81.879027 109.260447 151.956409 220.287325 332.432096 548.633790
2025-05-18 55.908439 75.421337 103.697536 149.865011 228.258077 367.121239 664.918505
2025-05-25 51.769095 71.496451 101.088919 151.561300 242.353762 416.061237 833.232783
2025-06-01 47.826898 67.339005 97.460192 150.766580 251.574896 458.235971 1010.507134
2025-06-08 44.212102 63.266231 93.403136 148.458629 257.254027 494.686535 1197.030144
2025-06-15 42.419181 61.840043 93.431902 153.342412 278.158711 572.550826 1567.411812
2025-06-22 38.860260 57.235366 87.595519 146.393184 272.660603 584.428958 1728.661354
2025-06-29 36.705168 54.749565 85.145502 145.586077 280.495265 634.124844 2086.883209
2025-07-06 34.822502 52.557394 82.978459 145.002168 288.706537 688.399872 2535.861172
2025-07-13 33.779733 51.879160 83.774066 151.306951 317.042126 823.794212 3692.231632
2025-07-20 33.239267 52.047550 86.210058 161.739755 360.086521 1041.754372 6142.924549
2025-07-27 31.395888 49.722553 83.610837 160.504583 371.028057 1151.009249 8281.522759
2025-08-03 30.032463 48.144191 82.285281 161.974187 390.492212 1313.726901 12211.581132
2025-08-10 28.427426 45.989368 79.579220 159.696709 397.892895 1429.961707 16764.792469
2025-08-17 27.359622 44.752536 78.611452 161.543853 419.492362 1643.187314 27130.542285
2025-08-24 26.141915 43.138098 76.695906 160.678381 431.808757 1821.988529 42303.446570
2025-08-31 24.888408 41.367736 74.287616 158.165714 437.644295 1971.536410 64643.206843
2025-09-07 24.359036 40.963857 74.770229 163.484014 475.115151 2401.192071 166815.536726
2025-09-14 22.888527 38.612699 70.791441 155.918021 459.371573 2400.088819 217296.730086
2025-09-21 22.017425 37.403728 69.253082 155.039946 471.154001 2659.253934 505344.922608